80% Confident
An architect is 100% confident in five skyscraper designs, until one cracks. Then: "As I said, 80%." Overconfidence, recalibrated after the fact.
Transcript
[1] "And you're confident all these skyscraper designs are safe?" "Absolutely! 100%." [One cracks] [2] "Umm…" [3] [Another is burning, another collapsed] "As I said, 80%."
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Free for classrooms, worksheets, slides and other non-commercial use under CC BY-NC 4.0, with credit to Ben Orlin.
Cartoon by Ben Orlin, Math with Bad Drawings. https://cartoons.mathwithbaddrawings.com/2022-04-05-80-confident/ (CC BY-NC 4.0)