Right More Than Half the Time
A blindfolded, torch-juggling skateboarder is 100% confident it's safe, adding that when they're that confident, they're right more than half the time.
Transcript
[1] [A blindfolded person on a skateboard juggling torches] "How confident are you that this is safe?" "100%." [2] "Phew! That's a relief." "Exactly. When I'm that confident, I'm right more than half the time."
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Free for classrooms, worksheets, slides and other non-commercial use under CC BY-NC 4.0, with credit to Ben Orlin.
Cartoon by Ben Orlin, Math with Bad Drawings. https://cartoons.mathwithbaddrawings.com/2022-04-05-right-more-than-half-the-time/ (CC BY-NC 4.0)