Math with Bad DrawingsCartoon Archive

Gambler's Fallacy (Pep Talk)

September 3, 2024From the book Math for English Majors

A basketball player has missed nine shots in a row, and a teammate insists that means they're due. Every pep talk, it turns out, is a case study in the gambler's fallacy.

Transcript

[Basketball] "Sure, you've missed your last nine shots. But that just means you're due!" "Sigh. I suppose every pep talk is, on some level, a case study in gambler's fallacy."

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Free for classrooms, worksheets, slides and other non-commercial use under CC BY-NC 4.0, with credit to Ben Orlin.

Cartoon by Ben Orlin, Math with Bad Drawings. https://cartoons.mathwithbaddrawings.com/2024-09-03-gambler-s-fallacy/ (CC BY-NC 4.0)
Topics
Probability › Gambler's Fallacy
Level
Middle SchoolHigh SchoolAP Statistics
Themes
SportsCommon Mistakes